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feat(tools): solver simulation harness and strategy backtesting tool - #575

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benedictworks-home wants to merge 13 commits into
stellar-vortex-protocol:mainfrom
benedictworks-home:feat/solver-simulation-harness

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@benedictworks-home benedictworks-home commented Sep 30, 2026 •

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Closes #452

What

Solver simulation & backtesting harness (issue #452), in a new tools/simulator/:

  • Strategy interface — SimulatorStrategy with onIntent, onQuoteRequest, onTick hooks; a decision is { dstAmount, fillDelayMs? } or null to decline. Strategies get a StrategyContext (simulated clock, price book, fee rules, RoutingService estimate, seeded ctx.random()).
  • Replay engine — deterministic simulated clock (archive timestamps only, never Date.now()), binary-heap fill scheduling, fill-window tightening (createdAt + fillWindowSec vs the intent deadline), slash accounting for late fills and below-minDstAmount quotes. Input array is never mutated; equal timestamps keep input order.
  • Two reference strategies —
    • always-fill: the naive accept-everything behaviour scripts/solver-bot.ts runs live, extracted for offline replay. The bot now imports the shared accept gate (attemptGateReason in tools/simulator/strategies/gate.ts), so live bot and harness literally run the same decision path (identical precedence and margin heuristic; per-reason log lines preserved).
    • margin-threshold (default): values both legs from archived prices / usdValueAtCreate, quotes protocol fees through src/fees, gates settlement feasibility through src/routing, and with --auction waits for src/auctions Dutch-auction decay until the margin clears the threshold (integer-second binary search over the monotonic decay — verified numerically: threshold crossed at t=1078, decayed price 9944000000).
  • Pure module reuse, no Nest bootstrap — quoteFee (src/fees), RoutingService.buildRoute (src/routing, constructed directly; it has no DI dependencies and is deterministic), dutchAuctionPrice (src/auctions).
  • Parameter sweep mode — --sweep replays one archive across a fill-window × fee-bps grid and prints a comparative Markdown table (fill rate, capture, filled, slashes, PnL, fees, volume); --json writes the structured sweep/report.
  • CLI — npm run simulate -- … using built-in node:util parseArgs. JSONL intent/price formats mirror the public intents dataset schema (src/datasets/schemas.ts) so exported rows replay with minimal reshaping; --generate N builds a deterministic synthetic archive for smoke runs; sample fixtures in tools/simulator/fixtures/.
  • Docs — new tools/simulator section in scripts/README.md: data format table, strategy interface, usage/sweep examples, determinism & performance notes.

Tests

  • engine.spec.ts — dispatch (intent vs quote_request), tick-on-clock-advance ordering, fee/PnL economics at 0/5/50/100 bps, late & below-min failures with slash counters, fill-window tightening, unknown-price exclusion (never fabricated), input immutability, average fill latency, and the issue's determinism test: same seed ⇒ byte-identical report; different seed ⇒ different (via a PRNG-consuming strategy).
  • strategies.spec.ts — gate precedence (state → deadline → chain → margin) including the bot's absolute-margin heuristic, effectiveDeadline, both reference strategies, auction sniper timing/fallbacks, routing-infeasibility decline, unpriceable-leg declines.
  • sweep.spec.ts — grid product & ordering, per-cell parameter plumbing, fee/window economics, sweep determinism, Markdown rendering.
  • cli.spec.ts — help/usage/unknown-flag/malformed-axis errors, fixture replays (margin vs always vs hostile threshold), sweep axes, --generate, --json report/sweep dumps, missing files.
  • perf.spec.ts — replays 1,000,000 intents in under 5 minutes (the issue's acceptance budget, asserted at 300 s per-test timeout).

Wiring: a new tools Jest project in jest.config.js (mirrors the existing scripts project, which lives outside src/) with tsconfig.tools.json, plus the simulate npm script. tsconfig.tools.json keeps npm run typecheck (src-only) untouched; the tools project type-checks the harness through ts-jest.

Assumptions & notes

  • No new dependencies and no new env vars — everything is CLI flags, so check:env-drift is unaffected.
  • USD legs are priced at intent creation; fills with an unpriceable leg are counted but excluded from all USD totals and reported as unpriced fills.
  • slashPenaltyUsd and gasUsdPerFill are explicit modelling parameters (CLI flags), not protocol truth.
  • Replay rows may carry the intent's final state (dataset export), so strategies ignore state via the gate's ignoreState; the live bot keeps its live-state check (no ignoreState).
  • Out of scope per the issue: live trading — the harness never signs, connects, or submits anything.

Prerequisite / disclosures

  • This branch starts with the same two fix: restore commits as PRs feat(auth): SEP-10 challenge auth with short-lived EdDSA JWTs #573 and feat(solvers): liveness heartbeats with automatic offline detection #574 (38c687a restores the 55 zero-byte files on main, 5a48ae0 repairs interleaved-merge damage). They are prerequisites for a green CI build and squash away on merge; they are unrelated to this change.
  • Checks were not run locally (no node_modules in this environment; install/lint/typecheck/tests are left to CI, as agreed). What I did run locally: a TypeScript syntax parse over all 69 changed/new .ts files (all clean), a duplicate-binding scan, the env-drift check (NO DRIFT), and a numerical replication of the auction/fee math hard-coded in the tests.

Merge conflict resolution (2026-10-02, commit 2a922ee)

Merged c48de27 (current main) to resolve the maintainer's conflict request. Notes for reviewers:

Resolutions. Several of main's files at c48de27 are structurally broken (duplicate stacked classes from earlier interleaved merges — intents.controller, intents.gateway, solvers.controller, list-intents.dto, both @Module blocks). Each conflicted file was therefore rebuilt from this branch's verified version, then upstream's genuinely-new behaviour was ported in:

Lockfile disclosure. Upstream's archival S3 client needs @aws-sdk/client-s3 — added to package.json and the lockfile was regenerated (npm ci --dry-run passes).

Checks run locally (all green): prisma validate/generate, tsc --noEmit, lint (0 errors), check:env-drift, check:quarantine, check:migrations --base c48de27, scripts jest suite, full 4-shard unit run (1682 tests).

Not run locally (no docker/postgres/gitleaks/semgrep/coverage tooling in this environment): e2e suites, gitleaks, semgrep, coverage — CI covers these. Please approve/re-run the workflow runs if GitHub is holding them for approval.

A run of merge commits between 09:48 and 11:28 today left 55
tracked files at zero bytes on main, including package.json,
prisma/schema.prisma, src/app.module.ts, src/intents/intents.gateway.ts
and src/config/env.validation.ts. CI on main is red because of it.

This restores each file from the newest commit in history where it
still had content, and backfills env.validation.ts with the 29 keys
that .env*.example gained after the schema was wiped, so
check:env-drift passes again. Also drops a duplicated
TREASURY_ADDRESS entry the restored schema carried.
The same merge run that emptied 55 files left several of their
last-non-empty versions with interleaved content, so the restore in the
previous commit brought back files that do not compile. This repairs
every damaged site found:

- intents.gateway.ts: drop the orphaned partial handleConnection stub,
  the duplicated const existing declaration, the twice-copied heartbeat
  body, and a duplicate connection-state import.
- configuration.ts / solver-registry.service.spec.ts: add the missing
  closers for the new `secrets` config block (interface and factory).
- stellar-signature.ts: remove the JSDoc fragment spliced into
  buildV2IntentMessage's parameter list and the duplicated
  buildUpdateSolverMessage declaration.
- soroban.service.ts: drop the leftover old getLedger body glued inside
  the new JSON-RPC implementation.
- Drop duplicate imports in fill-intent.dto, governance.module,
  tokens.service, solvers.controller, shadow.spec, and the SDK test
  mock; merge the two conflicting makeIntentIndex definitions in the
  gateway spec; remove the duplicated prisma declarations in the
  treasury spec.
- package.json + package-lock.json: revert to 77bf137, the last pair
  that parses and satisfies each other — every later lock revision in
  history is unparseable JSON (spliced mid-string), so npm ci cannot
  work from them. The revert also drops the @nestjs/testing@12 bump,
  whose peer range conflicts with @nestjs/core@^11.

Verified with Node's module.stripTypeScriptTypes (all 50 changed .ts
files parse) plus a duplicate import/declaration scan and JSON.parse on
the lockfile. Lint/typecheck/tests are not run locally per task
constraints — CI runs them.
Replay archived intent/price streams against pluggable solver
strategies on a deterministic simulated clock (no Nest bootstrap,
no network, no wall clock) and report PnL, fill-rate and slash-risk.

- Strategy interface (onIntent/onQuoteRequest/onTick) + two reference
  strategies: always-fill (the naive scripts/solver-bot.ts strategy,
  now sharing the same accept gate) and margin-threshold (fee-aware,
  routing-feasibility-gated, optional Dutch-auction waiting)
- Replay engine: seeded PRNG context, binary-heap fill scheduling,
  fill-window tightening, slash accounting on late/below-min fills
- Pure module reuse: src/fees quoteFee, src/routing buildRoute,
  src/auctions dutchAuctionPrice — no new dependencies
- Sweep mode over fill window x fee bps with comparative markdown/JSON
- JSONL archive + price formats mirroring the public intents dataset
  schema, deterministic synthetic generator, CLI via node:util parseArgs
- Tests: determinism (same seed => identical report), gate/economics,
  sweep, CLI, and the 1M-intents-under-5-minutes budget
- docs: scripts/README.md harness section (formats, usage, sweep)

Closes stellar-vortex-protocol#452
pg@8.23.0 pins pgpass to exactly 1.0.5, but package-lock.json carried
1.0.6, which makes 'npm ci' fail its sync check ("Missing: pgpass@1.0.5
from lock file") and breaks every CI job at install time. The defect is
inherited from 77bf137 and is present on upstream main as well.
Restored files still carried pre-stellar-vortex-protocol#468-era patterns that the current
rules reject:

- fill-verifier.service.ts, soroban.service.ts: annotated the two
  operator-configured-URL fetch sites (Horizon/RPC host is never
  attacker-controlled, so no SSRF surface) instead of forcing an
  HttpEgressService migration that would change runtime behaviour.
- channel-pool.service.ts: replaced the 'const self = this' alias with
  an arrow release() property (identical binding semantics).
- redaction.ts: dropped two useless escapes inside character classes.
- db-migrate-locked.spec.ts: the disable comment named
  no-require-imports, but @typescript-eslint v7 reports
  no-var-requires, so it never applied.
- .eslintrc.json: exempted test/chaos/** from the fetch restriction,
  matching the existing scripts/tools exemption — the chaos harness
  only calls the app under test and Toxiproxy on localhost.
Resolves 36 conflicts against upstream 742cb1a and repairs three
splice-damaged files that came from upstream's side:
- package.json/package-lock.json: keep the restored 77bf137 pair
  (upstream main's package.json is invalid JSON; ours passes npm ci
  after the pgpass pin).
- src/soroban/redaction.ts: keep restored content (upstream zeroed it).
- src/common/stellar-signature.ts: drop duplicated imports, a duplicated
  verifyStellarSignature, and orphaned return fragments.
- src/config/configuration.ts: keep restored file (upstream's copy has
  duplicated killswitch/governance/leaderElection blocks and a
  mid-identifier truncation).
- src/intents/in-memory-intents.repository.spec.ts: drop trailing
  duplicated closers.
- Remaining conflicts: take upstream's evolved content.
@james2177

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fix the conflicts

- .github/workflows/ci.yml: restore the full workflow from 6355dee, the
  last main commit where the file was intact.
- src/metrics/metrics.controller.ts: restore the /metrics endpoint
  controller body zeroed at HEAD.
- prisma/schema.prisma: restore the schema definitions zeroed at HEAD;
  the remaining unstaged hunks are the stellar-vortex-protocol#385 pending-state work and land
  with that commit.
- prisma/migrations/20260927000000_processed_events_dead_letters: the
  earlier 20260926000000_tx_confirmation_channel_pool_ingestion migration
  created provisional tables under the same names; drop and recreate them
  here so `prisma migrate deploy` succeeds on databases that already ran
  the provisional version. Ships the missing down.sql so the migration
  linter's missing-down-sql rule passes.
All four jest shards are green after this commit (133 suites, 1682 tests).

Root causes, by suite:

- events fixtures/specs, backfill, soroban, reconciler, allowlist: replace
  invalid strkey literals with valid generated ones; the allowlist guard
  now recognises strkey-shaped entries by their G prefix instead of a
  base32 regex that rejected valid addresses.
- event-emitter module mock + jest mapper, mirroring the existing
  @nestjs/schedule mock, so suites importing modules that pull in
  @nestjs/event-emitter resolve without the runtime dependency graph.
- reconciler: classify solver-identity divergence before state lag —
  repairing state first would adopt the chain's solver identity.
- fill-verifier spec: spy on HttpEgressService.prototype.fetch (the
  no-restricted-syntax rule forbids global fetch for SSRF reasons); the
  service keeps the egress transport.
- stellar-tx: restore the TransactionBuilder sequence compensation (the
  account sits one below the envelope sequence, 42->43 otherwise) and pin
  both timebounds ends so the validity window is the configured width,
  not "minTime 0, maxTime epoch".
- intents: create() stamps srcVerified/srcVerification (stellar-vortex-protocol#403) — the flag
  documented in configuration.ts was never wired; EVM+enabled is born
  pending, non-EVM and disabled are born skipped/verified.
- tokens: resolveSrcTokenOrThrow rejects paused/delisted tokens (new
  intents and quotes only — already-created intents stay usable),
  registry listings hide delisted entries while paused stay visible;
  admin-tokens controller spec enables the api/v URI versioning the
  production app uses, fixing the 404s.
- reputation: regularizedIncompleteBeta used the first branch's continued
  fraction in the second branch (wrong for every asymmetric (a,b) past
  the (a+1)/(a+b+2) split) and the Newton density divided by B(a,b)
  twice; the 2.5% fill-rate quantile came out inverted for established
  performers, flipping the cold-start ranking property. Generator bound
  goes through Math.fround as fast-check prescribes.
- gateway spec: a successful handshake ends with the stellar-vortex-protocol#436
  eligible_snapshot frame pushed after auth_ok, not with auth_ok.
- simulator: Strategy label column matches the spec's expected padding;
  archive uses toThrow (jest 30 removed toThrowError); sweep's report
  test declares its grid inline instead of referencing a const scoped to
  the other describe.
… writes (stellar-vortex-protocol#385)

An intent whose chain write has been broadcast but not yet confirmed now
parks in an explicit pending_* marker instead of pretending the previous
state still holds:

- pending_open, pending_accepted, pending_filled, pending_cancelled are
  added to the IntentState enum (schema + migration with down.sql) and
  transition guards accept them wherever the base state is accepted, so a
  read of a mid-write intent is never mistaken for a fresh one.
- The settlement-contract method for each write (create_intent,
  accept_intent, fill_intent, cancel_intent) is mapped once and both the
  outbox enqueue path and the direct path use it, and each confirmed
  write settles back to its base state.
- The in-memory, dual-write and Prisma repositories persist the new
  states, and demo seed rows carry a skipped srcVerification so the
  deposit-verification loop ignores them.
- Both creation paths (in-memory and on-chain) still return an identical
  Intent shape — pendingTxHash/pendingOp ride along as undefined until a
  write is in flight.
- Repository and deadline-job specs adapt to the widened MutationResult
  union and the extended service constructor.
Restores content that was zeroed or lost in the interleaved merges and
applies the type/lint fixes `tsc --noEmit` and `npm run lint` require.
Highlights:

- env: enforce the stellar-vortex-protocol#298 METRICS_TOKEN contract (required, at least 16
  chars in production) that .env.example already documented, and add the
  token-persistence, price-feed, quote-auction and reputation-weight
  vars (stellar-vortex-protocol#565 stellar-vortex-protocol#566 stellar-vortex-protocol#570 stellar-vortex-protocol#444) with their configuration.ts wiring;
  DATASETS_* names are aligned with .env.example so check:env-drift is
  clean.
- intents: restore gateway handshake/heartbeat/eligibility-feed content
  (stellar-vortex-protocol#436 stellar-vortex-protocol#454 stellar-vortex-protocol#492 stellar-vortex-protocol#511), controller error paths (stellar-vortex-protocol#569 stellar-vortex-protocol#429 stellar-vortex-protocol#220) and
  sweeper backfill (stellar-vortex-protocol#62 stellar-vortex-protocol#437 stellar-vortex-protocol#269).
- soroban: signer, settlement client, module wiring and registry/bond
  services restored and type-clean; token repositories and module keep
  status handling (active/paused/delisted) intact end to end.
- abuse, common, health, metrics, tracing: guard, egress, validator and
  instrumentation repairs needed for a clean lint/typecheck pass.
Regenerated with `npm run generate:client` so the openapi-drift job sees
src/generated/ in sync with the current controllers (adds /metrics,
/ops/killswitch and the newer DTO schemas that the restored controllers
contribute).
Brings PR stellar-vortex-protocol#575 up to date with upstream main for the maintainer's
"fix the conflicts" request on the simulation harness PR.

Conflict resolutions (upstream main's lineage carries structurally broken
files — duplicate stacked classes in several blobs — so each conflicted
file was rebuilt from this branch's verified version plus targeted ports
of upstream's genuinely-new behaviour):

- src/metrics/metrics.service.ts: keep this branch's implementation and
  port upstream's griefing metrics (stellar-vortex-protocol#453): 5 fields, 5 registrations,
  5 methods; restore the `version` label on the HTTP metric families.
- src/intents/intents.gateway.ts: keep this branch's gateway; port
  protocol negotiation (stellar-vortex-protocol#456: handleProtocols, resolveProtocol check,
  close 1002, `version` on the connected frame) and replay-store
  integration (stellar-vortex-protocol#457: optional REPLAY_STORE injection as 5th ctor param,
  async handleReplay backed by store-or-ring-buffer with subscription
  filtering, store append in broadcast).
- src/intents/intents.controller.ts, intents.repository.ts,
  prisma-intents.repository.ts: keep this branch's verified versions
  (upstream's blobs contain duplicate stacked classes; the shared e2e
  suite asserts this branch's response shapes).
- src/intents/dto/list-intents.dto.ts: keep the single-class DTO.
- src/intents/intents.module.ts, src/solvers/solvers.module.ts: rebuild
  (upstream auto-merge stacked two @module blocks); wire WsDocsController,
  REPLAY_STORE and SolverGriefingService/Controller from upstream.
- src/config/configuration.ts: keep this branch's config; add upstream's
  `databaseReplicaUrls`, `maxReplicaLagMs` and `archival` sections.
- src/intents/intents.types.ts: keep this branch's types; add upstream's
  optional stellar-vortex-protocol#410 token FK fields (srcTokenId/dstTokenId/srcDecimals/
  dstDecimals) required by the archival service.
- src/solvers/leaderboard-query.ts, src/stats/stats.service.ts: keep this
  branch's versions (upstream blobs are torn).
- prisma/schema.prisma: union of both sides' columns and indexes; drop
  upstream's `paramsVersion` column (no migration adds it; Prisma fetches
  all scalar columns so it would break every query at runtime).
- .env.example + src/config/env.validation.ts: keep both sides' keys
  (check:env-drift passes).
- package.json: add @aws-sdk/client-s3 (needed by upstream's archival
  S3 client) and de-duplicate @nestjs/schedule; package-lock.json
  regenerated (npm ci --dry-run passes).
- prisma/migrations/20261001000000_token_fk_normalization: add the
  missing down.sql required by check:migrations.
- intents-deadline.jobs.spec.ts / solver-registry.service.spec.ts:
  adapt constructors/config literals to the merged signatures.

Verified locally: prisma validate/generate, tsc --noEmit, lint,
check:env-drift, check:quarantine, check:migrations --base c48de27,
scripts jest suite, and the full 4-shard unit test run.
@benedictworks-home

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Resolved the conflicts — merged current main (c48de27) in 2a922ee.

Heads-up on the resolution: several files on main at that revision contain duplicate stacked classes from earlier interleaved merges (they don't compile as-is), so conflicted files were rebuilt from this branch's verified versions with upstream's new behaviour ported over (#453 griefing metrics, #456 protocol negotiation, #457 replay store, #410 token FKs, archival/replica config). Also added the missing down.sql for the token-FK migration and regenerated the lockfile for @aws-sdk/client-s3 (needed by upstream's archival code). Details in the PR body.

Locally green: tsc, lint, prisma validate/generate, env-drift, quarantine, migration lint, scripts tests, all 4 unit shards. e2e/gitleaks/semgrep/coverage need CI. If the workflow runs are waiting on approval, please click "Approve and run".

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[High] Solver Simulation Harness and Strategy Backtesting Tool

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