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Census of Crossref update links (errata, corrections, retractions) whose notice predates the work it updates. Pre-registered. By MV2, Munim, Inc.; made with AI agents. Apache-2.0.

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crossref-update-direction-audit

Do the scholarly record's correction and retraction links point at the right paper, and do they say what they are?

Crossref records an erratum, correction or retraction as a link on the notice: the notice's record says update-to: <the work it corrects>, and Crossref then shows the work as updated-by the notice. PubMed and the Retraction Watch database (RW, now published openly by Crossref) keep their own links. Tools that flag corrected or retracted papers read all three. Each audit here is pre-registered before it runs, and every prediction is graded, including the ones that fail.

Audit Question Plan Grading
1 notices dated before their targets PREREG.md GRADING-1.md: 2 of 7 held
2 reversed links (article points at its own notice) PREREG-2.md GRADING-2.md: 2 of 5 held
3 Physics Today back-file correction links PREREG-3.md GRADING-3.md: 6 of 8 held
4 retraction and withdrawal notices typed as something else PREREG-4.md GRADING-4.md: 6 of 8 held
5 does PubMed agree with publisher-deposited retractions? PREREG-5.md GRADING-5.md
6 retractions that no index flags PREREG-6.md GRADING-6.md: 7 of 9 held
7 papers shown as retracted because a correction of theirs was withdrawn PREREG-7.md GRADING-7.md: 7 of 8 held
8 does PubMed repeat audit 7's error? PREREG-8.md GRADING-8.md: descriptive (two gates failed)
9 PubMed retraction notices titled as corrections PREREG-9.md GRADING-9.md
10 does PubMed link each notice to the paper RW names? PREREG-10.md GRADING-10.md: 6 of 9 held
11 do the publisher and RW name the same paper for the same Crossref notice? PREREG-11.md GRADING-11.md: 3 held, 2 failed, 4 not graded
12 how many RW PubMed IDs have their last digit cut off? PREREG-12.md job queued
13 does OpenAlex flag items that Crossref records only as withdrawn? PREREG-13.md job queued

Main findings so far

  • Publisher retraction links that point at the wrong paper (audit 11, post hoc). At least 19 publisher-deposited retraction or withdrawal links in Crossref name an item that was never retracted. Examples: a withdrawn letter linking the article it comments on, a one-digit DOI typo, an Expression of Concern, and an unrelated paper. OpenAlex shows all 11 whose wrong link is typed retraction as retracted, and none of the 9 typed withdrawal: findings/publisher-retraction-links-to-wrong-paper.md. Publisher and RW otherwise almost always agree: only 36 of 27,845 notices that carry both sources name different papers.
  • Retraction Watch PubMed IDs with the last digit cut off (audit 10, post hoc). 34 RW rows carry the correct PMID minus its final digit, so they point at unrelated papers from the 1970s to the 1990s: findings/rw-truncated-pubmed-ids.md. Audit 12 counts them across the whole database. Audit 11 found the same kind of error in RW DOIs, for example 10.1177/014616720026200 for 10.1177/0146167200262008.
  • PubMed notices linked to the wrong record (audit 10). In at least three cases PubMed links a retraction notice to another paper or to an Expression of Concern, so the retracted paper is not flagged (GRADING-10.md). Across 28,365 pairs, RW and PubMed agree 97.7% of the time.
  • Withdrawn corrections make papers look retracted (audits 7-8). 69 papers, almost all Elsevier, are shown as retracted or withdrawn in Crossref only because a correction of theirs was withdrawn. OpenAlex repeats it for 48 of them, and PubMed shows 9 papers as retracted for the same reason (a withdrawn correction indexed as the retraction notice) (findings/retracted-corrections-flip-papers.md, findings/pubmed-shows-withdrawn-corrigenda-as-retractions.md). Europe PMC mirrors PubMed here. The 9 records were reported to the NLM on 2026-11-10.
  • Corrections shown as retractions (audit 4 follow-up). 17 papers that only received a correction are shown as retracted, because the correction was deposited with the type retraction (findings/corrections-deposited-as-retractions.md).
  • Hidden retractions (audit 4). 9,314 publisher links come from notices titled as retractions or withdrawals but typed erratum, correction, addendum or new_edition, for example IWA Publishing's withdrawn papers (findings/iwa-withdrawn-as-addendum.md).
  • Reversed links (audits 1-2) and a scrambled back file (audit 3): see the gradings.

Check one paper: the retraction-crosscheck agent skill

skills/retraction-crosscheck turns these findings into a check that coding agents (Claude Code, Codex, Cursor and others that read SKILL.md files) or people can run on a DOI, a reference list or a .bib file:

python skills/retraction-crosscheck/scripts/retraction_crosscheck.py 10.1096/fj.09-135467

It reads the Crossref record and cross-checks any retraction against the notice's own title, Retraction Watch's entries for the same notice, PubMed and the paper's title. It then answers retracted, retracted_unconfirmed, disputed, possibly_withdrawn and others, with the reasons. Version 0.2.0 no longer trusts PubMed's flag when PubMed's only "retraction" is a withdrawn correction. Its pre-registered live evaluations are in eval/, and eval/EVAL-2B-GRADING.md confirmed the fix (all 5 predictions held).

Files

  • PREREG.md, PREREG-2.md ... PREREG-13.md: pre-registrations. GRADING-1.md ... GRADING-11.md: gradings. results/auditN/: raw outputs and hand-graded samples.
  • findings/: write-ups of specific errors, each with its evidence.
  • One Python script per audit (standard library only; reads api.crossref.org, PubMed E-utilities, OpenAlex or the RW CSV, no keys), each with a test_*.py unit-test file.
  • skills/retraction-crosscheck/: the agent skill; eval/: its evaluations.

By MV2, Munim, Inc. (mv2@munimtech.com). Made with AI agents working in MV2's name; no human has reviewed this work. Code Apache-2.0; text and data CC BY 4.0.

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Census of Crossref update links (errata, corrections, retractions) whose notice predates the work it updates. Pre-registered. By MV2, Munim, Inc.; made with AI agents. Apache-2.0.

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