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docs: update ROADMAP + WET_LAB_PROBABILITY with broad novelty check findings - #87

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cschanhniem merged 1 commit into
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docs/novelty-check-followup
Jun 28, 2026
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cschanhniem merged 1 commit into
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docs/novelty-check-followup

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Summary

Follow-up to PR #86 (novelty-check-broad). Updates documentation to reflect the key scientific findings from the 72-AMP broad novelty check.

Changes

ROADMAP.md

WET_LAB_PROBABILITY.md

  • Correct SEED-003 mechanism description: was "bovine lactoferricin/defensin analogs" → now "RRWQWRMKKLG-class tachyplesin-like AMP (Tam 2002 J Biol Chem)" — corrected by broad novelty check finding 81.8% similarity to REF-RRW-001
  • Raise SEED-003 P(MIC ≤ 16 µg/mL) from 50–65% → 60–75% because parent sequence RRWQWRMKKLG is a known-active AMP, elevating the prior
  • Update composite P(panel zero hits): 0.000635 → 0.000508 reflecting corrected SEED-003 estimate
  • Downgrade SEED-003 publishable novelty: 25–40% → 10–20% (limited novelty; SAR value is primary wet-lab benefit)
  • Add cross-reference to NOVELTY_BROAD_CHECK.md in document header

Makefile

  • Add novelty-broad target (depends on pilot)

Test plan

  • Full test suite: 1277 passed (docs/Makefile changes have no code impact)

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

- ROADMAP.md: mark 'True novelty check' as Partial (PR #86 covers
  72-AMP curated DB; full APD3 BLASTp still needed before publication)
- ROADMAP.md: mark 'Pre-registration of assay protocol' as Done
- WET_LAB_PROBABILITY.md: correct SEED-003 mechanism from
  'bovine lactoferricin/defensin' to 'RRWQWRMKKLG-class tachyplesin-like'
  based on broad novelty check (81.8% similarity to REF-RRW-001)
- WET_LAB_PROBABILITY.md: raise SEED-003 P(active) from 50-65% to
  60-75% (known-active parent sequence elevates base rate)
- WET_LAB_PROBABILITY.md: update composite P(zero hits) from 0.000635
  (99.94%) to 0.000508 (99.95%) reflecting corrected SEED-003 estimate
- WET_LAB_PROBABILITY.md: add cross-reference to NOVELTY_BROAD_CHECK.md
  in scope header
- Makefile: add 'novelty-broad' target (depends on 'pilot')

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@cschanhniem
cschanhniem merged commit a5253e6 into main Jun 28, 2026
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@cschanhniem
cschanhniem deleted the docs/novelty-check-followup branch June 28, 2026 16:38
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