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Replace unsupported gold-forecasting claims with verified results - #1

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Derdiry merged 3 commits into
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fix-gold-claims
Nov 1, 2026
Merged

Derdiry merged 3 commits into
mainfrom
fix-gold-claims

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@Derdiry

@Derdiry Derdiry commented Nov 1, 2026

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Summary

  • Gold project: rewrote the card, About bio, and skills to match the preregistered v2 study (every figure is in CLAIMS.md in the project repo). Removed the unsupported claims: 36 models, ACLED beating technical indicators, coup dummy ranked Replace unsupported gold-forecasting claims with verified results #1, 30-day lag, Chronos ~3% MAPE, walk-forward results, and old MAPE figures.
  • Homepage stats: "36 Models Trained" → "231 Configurations Tested". Removed the unverified "5+ Production Projects" and "7 Tech Stacks", and centered the remaining two stats.
  • ML Serving Platform: removed the references to the gold forecaster. Its other claims are unchanged pending verification.
  • Links: GitHub profile → github.com/Derdiry. sitemap.xml, robots.txt, and the AdminProfile QR fallback → www.moderdiry.com.
  • Cleanup: deleted the obsolete PORTFOLIO_WEBSITE_CLAUDE_PROMPT.md and portfolio-site(1).jsx.
  • Tooling: added a CI type-check workflow and backend/app/services/reset_admin_password.py. The script prompts for the new password, backs up the user row, and updates the bcrypt hash.

Not in this PR

  • Other numeric claims on the SudanWiki, Pipeline Integrity, ML Serving, and Water Dashboard cards. These are waiting on verification.

Testing

  • npm run build (tsc + vite) passes.
  • External links in the build resolve.
  • The edited seed and the reset script were run against a throwaway Postgres.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Derdiry and others added 3 commits November 1, 2026 11:32
Rewrite the gold project card, About bio, homepage stat and skills to
match the preregistered v2 study (CLAIMS.md): MinMax extrapolation
failure, scale-free targets, 0 of 231 configurations beat a random walk.
Fix the GitHub profile URL (github.com/Derdiry).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- ML Serving Platform: drop claims that it backed/was validated on the
  gold forecaster
- sitemap.xml, robots.txt, AdminProfile fallback: use www.moderdiry.com
- Homepage: remove unverified "5+ Production Projects" and "7 Tech Stacks"
- Delete obsolete PORTFOLIO_WEBSITE_CLAUDE_PROMPT.md and portfolio-site(1).jsx

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- .github/workflows/ci.yml: run tsc on pushes and PRs to main
- reset_admin_password.py: prompt for a new admin password (never
  echoed or logged), back up the user row, update the bcrypt hash

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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The latest updates on your projects. Learn more about Vercel for GitHub.

Project Deployment Actions Updated
my_website Ready Ready Preview Nov 1, 2026 8:35am UTC

@Derdiry
Derdiry merged commit 943a63d into main Nov 1, 2026
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@Derdiry
Derdiry deleted the fix-gold-claims branch November 1, 2026 09:45

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Preview — cdf51d2c Deployed Nov 1, 2026 by vercel[bot]
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