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probe(palette): falsify multi-hop error containment with closed and open codebooks - #1721

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AdaWorldAPI merged 1 commit into
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lab/palette256-multihop-error-hops-20261022
Oct 22, 2026
Merged

AdaWorldAPI merged 1 commit into
mainfrom
lab/palette256-multihop-error-hops-20261022

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Purpose

Falsify (rather than assume) the proposal that an immutable Palette256 and a pairwise 256² relation/compose LUT structurally prevent multi-hop error explosion and hallucinations. Freeze the reference frame and compare actual ComposeTable lookups against exact Base17 XOR composition for 1..64 hops.

What's already shipped

bgz_tensor::ComposeTable and Base17::xor_bind provide a real pairwise composition and an independent scalar oracle. The immutable reference-frame decision and Fisher-Z FamilyGamma relation codec are separate; Spearman ρ≈0.9998 is pairwise rank fidelity on a tested sample, not a hop guarantee.

New executable falsifiers

  • Closed two-symbol XOR codebook: every 1..64-hop table composition matches exact XOR, without modifying baked representatives.
  • Non-closed three-symbol codebook: a 3-hop chain is a deterministic counterexample; intermediate nearest-centroid assignment discards information and the error survives subsequent hops. An immutable codebook does NOT prove semantic error containment.
  • No unrelated float codec, Jirak or 3σ truth gate is smuggled into the graph-composition test.

Next measured study

Real held-out codebooks and typed relations, hop count 1/2/4/8/16/32/64, exact-domain oracle, codebook closure, relative/absolute error, top-k disagreement, bootstrap uncertainty, source overlap, failure-to-abstain, null controls. Compare direct immutable-address lookup vs explicit re-quantization and exact f32. Multi-hop drift/hallucination prevention remains UNPROVEN.

Verification

cargo test --manifest-path crates/bgz-tensor/Cargo.toml --test palette_multihop_error_probe.
No hot-path, ABI, composition, or codebook changes. No Google Search implementation ported.

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AdaWorldAPI pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 22, 2026
Moves crates/bgz-tensor/tests/palette_multihop_error_probe.rs here from #1721. Unlike the local helpers already in this
series, it exercises the real implementation, so the series keeps its
experiment contract and gains the concrete counter-probe. #1721 is
closed as superseded once this lands.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01G22yT6htkcdyXsihxxXdrg

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This test now lives in #1715 (commit 4a13ca2), where it serves as the production-surface counter-probe for the canonical #1709–#1717 series. It passes locally (release). I'll close this PR as superseded once #1715 has landed.


Generated by Claude Code

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AdaWorldAPI marked this pull request as ready for review October 22, 2026 21:55
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@AdaWorldAPI
AdaWorldAPI merged commit 82772e6 into main Oct 22, 2026
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AdaWorldAPI pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 23, 2026
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01G22yT6htkcdyXsihxxXdrg
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