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Add Jev job-lead eval and bounded shadowing - #417

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@michaelmwu michaelmwu commented Sep 20, 2026

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Summary

  • add a deterministic 48-case job-lead corpus and reusable eval runner
  • compare the production heuristic, Jev 1.13 through OpenRouter Decisions, and GPT-5.6 Luna through direct OpenAI
  • add an optional, off-by-default Jev shadow to HN job-lead scraping without changing authoritative classifications
  • bound shadow work by deterministic sampling, a per-run call cap, a wall-clock budget, and fail-closed provider handling
  • expose dashboard configuration and aggregate observations at Background tasks → scrape_job_leads_job → Result → classifier_shadow
  • retain only the reviewed Markdown summary in git; detailed normalized observations remain gitignored

Result

Across 144 calls per network profile, Jev achieved 100.0% contractor-friendly F1, 95.8% joint accuracy, and stable labels on all 48 cases. It measured 428 ms p50, 616 ms p95, and USD 0.003093 total provider-reported cost.

The corrected production-equivalent Luna rerun achieved 60.2% contractor-friendly F1 and 71.5% joint accuracy at 2046 ms p50, 2873 ms p95, and USD 0.034287 estimated cost. The report recommends starting the shadow at a symmetric 0.80 confidence gate while retaining deterministic guards and the current classifier.

Jev calls OpenRouter's Decisions endpoint directly with OPENROUTER_API_KEY. Shadow reports retain normalized decisions and sanitized error categories, not raw post text or provider messages.

Validation

  • corrected Luna rerun: 144/144 successful calls
  • focused eval and shadow tests: 48 passed
  • local full Python suite: 2186 passed, 25 skipped
  • Ruff formatting and lint passed
  • Pyrefly reported zero errors
  • GitHub test, lint, security, dashboard, agent-eval, and CodeQL checks passed on the consolidated head

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📝 Walkthrough

Walkthrough

The pull request adds a job-lead classification evaluation harness. It evaluates heuristic, Jev, and Luna classifiers against a synthetic corpus, computes deterministic metrics, supports CLI report generation, adds unit tests, and records Jev evaluation results. Production classification remains unchanged.

Changes

Job-lead classification evaluation

Layer / File(s) Summary
Corpus and evaluation contract
tests/evals/job-lead-classification/fixtures/v1/corpus.json, packages/shared/src/five08/job_lead_evals.py, tests/evals/job-lead-classification/README.md, packages/shared/pyproject.toml, .gitignore
Adds the synthetic corpus, typed evaluation models, Jev question definitions, CLI registration, run documentation, and report-directory ignore rules.
Classifier execution and provider handling
packages/shared/src/five08/job_lead_evals.py
Runs heuristic, Jev, and Luna profiles. It records predictions, probabilities, latency, usage, cost, and errors. It adds response validation and retry handling.
Metrics, reports, and command execution
packages/shared/src/five08/job_lead_evals.py
Computes accuracy, F1, stability, Brier score, confidence thresholds, latency, usage, and failure summaries. It renders Markdown reports, writes JSON and Markdown outputs, and supports CLI and environment-file options.
Validation tests and recorded results
tests/unit/test_job_lead_evals.py, .context/reports/2026-09-21-jev-job-lead-classification-eval.md
Adds unit tests for the corpus, provider integrations, metrics, retries, report rendering, and environment loading. Records comparative results and Jev confidence-gate analysis.

Priority: ⬇️ Low

Estimated code review effort: 4 (Complex) | ~45 minutes

Change: Other

Sequence Diagram(s)

sequenceDiagram
  participant CLI
  participant EvaluationSuite
  participant HeuristicClassifier
  participant OpenRouterDecisions
  participant OpenAIChatCompletions
  participant ReportWriter
  CLI->>EvaluationSuite: load corpus and select profiles
  EvaluationSuite->>HeuristicClassifier: classify each case
  EvaluationSuite->>OpenRouterDecisions: request Jev decision
  OpenRouterDecisions-->>EvaluationSuite: return classification and usage
  EvaluationSuite->>OpenAIChatCompletions: request Luna structured output
  OpenAIChatCompletions-->>EvaluationSuite: return parsed classification and usage
  EvaluationSuite->>ReportWriter: summarize observations and write report
  ReportWriter-->>CLI: return JSON or Markdown output
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🚥 Pre-merge checks | ✅ 4 | ❌ 1

❌ Failed checks (1 warning)

Check name Status Explanation Resolution
Docstring Coverage ⚠️ Warning Docstring coverage is 11.43% which is insufficient. The required threshold is 80.00%. Docstring coverage is scoped to functions touched by this diff. Analyzed 70 functions across 2 files. (1 skipped: … Write docstrings for the functions missing them to satisfy the coverage threshold.
✅ Passed checks (4 passed)
Check name Status Explanation
Linked Issues check ✅ Passed Check skipped because no linked issues were found for this pull request.
Out of Scope Changes check ✅ Passed Check skipped because no linked issues were found for this pull request.
Description Check ✅ Passed Check skipped - CodeRabbit’s high-level summary is enabled.
Title check ✅ Passed The title clearly identifies the Jev job-lead evaluation, which is the primary change. “Bounded shadowing” reflects the documented recommendation for follow-up testing, although no production shadowin…
Full details: Docstring Coverage

Explanation

Docstring coverage is 11.43% which is insufficient. The required threshold is 80.00%. Docstring coverage is scoped to functions touched by this diff. Analyzed 70 functions across 2 files. (1 skipped: 1 unsupported.)

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Actionable comments posted: 1


  • 🪄 Fix CodeRabbit comments on this PR
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Inline comments:
In `@packages/shared/src/five08/job_lead_evals.py`:
- Line 18: Add openai to the shared package’s project.dependencies because
five08.job_lead_evals imports OpenAI at module load time and the job-lead-eval
entry point requires it. Keep the existing import and ensure environments
installing only the shared package can import five08.job_lead_evals
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  • tests/evals/job-lead-classification/README.md
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* feat: add Jev job lead shadow observations

* fix: bound Jev shadow execution

* fix: report captured Jev shadow configuration

* fix: sanitize Jev shadow failures
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@michaelmwu michaelmwu changed the title Add Jev job-lead classification eval Add Jev job-lead eval and bounded shadowing Sep 21, 2026

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int(item[2].get("output_tokens") or 0) for item in successful
),
"total": sum(int(item[2].get("total_tokens") or 0) for item in successful),
"cost_usd": round(sum(cost_values), 8) if cost_values else None,

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P2 Badge Mark incomplete shadow cost totals as unavailable

In the new scrape_job_leads shadow report, when multiple Jev calls succeed but even one response omits usage.cost, cost_values contains only the priced responses and this line publishes their sum as the run's total. Since JobLeadJevDecision.cost_usd is explicitly optional, the dashboard can silently understate provider spend; require a cost value for every successful observation before reporting a total, otherwise return None or expose pricing coverage.

AGENTS.md reference: AGENTS.md:L133-L133

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Comment on lines +763 to +765
if self._jev_shadow_calls_started >= self._jev_shadow_max_calls:
self._jev_shadow_budget_exhaustion_reason = "max_calls"
return None

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P2 Badge Rotate shadow samples after reaching the per-run cap

When a monthly HN tree is scraped repeatedly in the same order and at least max_calls earlier comments pass the deterministic sample, this prefix-based cap is reached before every later comment on every run. Newly appended posts can therefore remain permanently unobserved while the same older cohort consumes all 25 calls, biasing the live canary telemetry; prioritize new/unobserved posts or choose the capped cohort by a stable hash rank across all eligible comments rather than stopping at the first sampled prefix.

AGENTS.md reference: AGENTS.md:L131-L131

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Comment on lines +843 to +844
"- Jev uses OpenRouter's Decisions endpoint and the pinned `typesafe/jev-1.13` request ID. The resolved dated snapshot is retained in the JSON observation report.",
"- The Luna baseline uses the production job-lead prompt and schema through direct OpenAI. A preflight through OpenRouter returned HTTP 403 under provider terms, so the report does not present an unsupported route as a benchmark failure.",

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P2 Badge Generate methodology from the actual eval run

Every generated report claims that Jev used the pinned default model and that a Luna preflight through OpenRouter returned HTTP 403, but the runner never performs or records that preflight and both models are configurable through --jev-model and --llm-model. Reports produced with custom models—and even ordinary fresh runs—therefore contain unsupported provenance statements; render model identities from report.requested_models and omit the preflight claim unless the run records that event.

AGENTS.md reference: AGENTS.md:L133-L133

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