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| 1 | +## 2026-08-23 — E-THE-SEVEN-OPCODE-PROJECTION-IS-NOT-X86-AND-THE-CHAIN-CARRIER-WINS-1 — four wave probes: the chain carrier confirmed, the vocabulary survives optimization, and the boundary that qualifies all of it |
| 2 | + |
| 3 | +**Status:** FINDING — [MEASURED] × 4 (`PROBE-R2IL-OPTIMIZATION-TRANSFER-1` 5/5, |
| 4 | +`PROBE-R2IL-DEFUSE-MACROS-1` 6/6, `PROBE-R2IL-SLAG-BOUNDARY-1` 5/5, |
| 5 | +`PROBE-STAMP-CAPACITY-1` 6/6). Autoattended wave: 6 slices — 4 Sonnet probe |
| 6 | +workers, 1 Sonnet scribe, 1 Opus synthesis worker, 1 Haiku guarded executor for |
| 7 | +the gate sweep. Orchestrator compiled centrally, adjudicated every gate, fixed |
| 8 | +the P0s, and is the sole writer of this entry. |
| 9 | +**Confidence:** High for these two binaries at the pass-1 convention. The |
| 10 | +fourth finding is precisely the reason that qualifier is not boilerplate. |
| 11 | + |
| 12 | +**F-10 — the def-use chain carrier CONFIRMS its own prescription.** #1014 |
| 13 | +concluded "the macro carrier must be the def-use chain, never the linear opcode |
| 14 | +window." Run as code on the same 143 episodes: 1,872 length-3 def-use chains |
| 15 | +collapse to **27 distinct signatures** against the window's **97** (3.6× tighter), |
| 16 | +and the chain top-10 carries **0.887** of all occurrences against the window's |
| 17 | +**0.505**. Decisively: **95.9%** of the top chain's occurrences skip at least one |
| 18 | +intervening op (median span 6, max 148) — they are invisible to a window matcher |
| 19 | +at any width the data would justify. The prescription was not merely reasonable; |
| 20 | +it is measurably the better carrier. |
| 21 | + |
| 22 | +**F-9 — the idiom vocabulary survives optimization COMPLETELY (pre-registration |
| 23 | +refuted in place).** TRAIN `stress_test` (71 fns / 3040 ops) vs held-out TEST |
| 24 | +`stress_test_opt` (72 / 2300), same source, disjoint address keys. Predicted |
| 25 | +PARTIAL survival on the theory that some top idioms are unoptimized-compilation |
| 26 | +artifacts. Measured: **10/10** top-K transfer; of 64 TRAIN trigram types **61 |
| 27 | +survive** (3 TRAIN-only) while TEST carries **94**, of which **33 are TEST-ONLY**. |
| 28 | +The optimizer did not prune the vocabulary — it ADDED to it, while cutting |
| 29 | +ops/function 42.82 → 31.94. The density half of the prediction held; the pruning |
| 30 | +half was wrong and is recorded in the probe's own docs, not adjusted away. |
| 31 | + |
| 32 | +**F-11 — THE BOUNDARY, and it qualifies every finding in this arc.** The |
| 33 | +harvest's addressed residual is **larger than its classified output**: |
| 34 | +classified 17,557 rows vs residual count 36,747 (**ratio 0.478**), of which |
| 35 | +**88.1%** is the single named reason `opcode_not_in_convention`; every |
| 36 | +`by_address` shape sums EXACTLY to its `grouped` count. The furnace is behaving |
| 37 | +correctly — the residual is convention-bounded and named, never dropped. But the |
| 38 | +consequence is sharp: **F-1's 99.7%, F-2's type-collapse and F-10's chain |
| 39 | +vocabulary are all measured over the seven-opcode projection, with roughly twice |
| 40 | +that volume sitting outside it.** These are not claims about x86-64; they are |
| 41 | +claims about a projection of two binaries. Stating that plainly is the finding. |
| 42 | + |
| 43 | +**F-12 — the stamp loss curve.** Through the shipped `Stamp`: loss is exactly 0 |
| 44 | +for every N ≤ 64 and strictly positive past it — 33.3% at 96, **55.2% at 143**, |
| 45 | +87.5% at 512. The 55.2% is the upper bound (every source hitting one macro); |
| 46 | +#1014's measured ~26% is one real idiom appearing in fewer than all episodes. |
| 47 | +Modelled 128/256-bit registers recover 15/0 dropped at N=143 — **modelled only, |
| 48 | +not a proposal, not implemented, memory/cache/wire costs unmeasured.** Any width |
| 49 | +change is the operator's ruling; this is input to it. |
| 50 | + |
| 51 | +**Wave-process notes worth keeping:** |
| 52 | +- A worker caught an error in ITS OWN BRIEF: I specified the slag `by_address` |
| 53 | + section as 5 columns; the file declares 4. It parsed what the file declares and |
| 54 | + said so, rather than reconciling silently. That is the brief being wrong and |
| 55 | + the guardrail working. |
| 56 | +- The Haiku executor STOPPED at command 1 on a formatting failure (a worker file |
| 57 | + landed after my format pass), wrote its receipt, attempted no fix, and escalated |
| 58 | + — exactly its contract. Supervisor fixed and re-carded. |
| 59 | +- Two pre-registrations were refuted across the wave (F-9 here, E3 in #1014). Both |
| 60 | + recorded in place. A wave that never refutes a prediction is not measuring. |
| 61 | + |
| 62 | +**The meta-review changed the findings, not just the code.** A read-only Opus |
| 63 | +reviewer returned FIX-THEN-LAND with 4 P0s: three gates that no input could fail |
| 64 | +(one of which LABELLED a true-by-construction identity "the falsifier for this |
| 65 | +whole section"), and this arc's own knowledge-doc header stating F-1 as an |
| 66 | +unqualified claim about "real machine code" that the same document later |
| 67 | +contradicts. Two findings were WEAKENED as a result and are recorded here in |
| 68 | +their weakened form: **F-10 no longer claims "the prescription is confirmed"** — |
| 69 | +the chain carrier's over-admission is 0 *by construction*, so what remains is an |
| 70 | +uncontrolled concentration comparison (1,872 chain occurrences vs ~5,054 window |
| 71 | +occurrences, no occurrence-matched control run); and **F-11's ratio compares ore |
| 72 | +ROWS to residual COUNT UNITS**, which no gate establishes are the same unit, so |
| 73 | +it is a magnitude comparison and is now labelled one. Every P0 and the |
| 74 | +load-bearing P1s were fixed, every gate re-run green with strictly harder |
| 75 | +assertions. A review that only confirms is not a review. |
| 76 | + |
| 77 | +**Files:** `probe_r2il_optimization_transfer.rs`, `probe_r2il_defuse_macros.rs`, |
| 78 | +`probe_r2il_slag_boundary.rs`, `probe_stamp_capacity.rs`, |
| 79 | +`.claude/knowledge/r2il-behavioral-carrier.md` (the consolidated reference, |
| 80 | +F-1..F-12). |
| 81 | + |
1 | 82 | ## 2026-08-23 — E-REAL-CODE-INTERLEAVES-THE-OPCODE-MACRO-IS-NOT-A-DATAFLOW-PIPE-1 — the real FunctionBehavior episode measurement: 99.7% over-admission by opcode matching, and three structural facts the toy could not show |
2 | 83 |
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3 | 84 | **Status:** FINDING — [MEASURED] (`PROBE-R2IL-REAL-EPISODES-1`, 5/5, run |
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